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I mean, it’s going to be huge some day, no doubt about that, it’s just that the technical problems are proving a lot harder to solve than anyone thought, and that doesn’t even make a start on the social problems thrown up by products like Google Glass.
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I’d have put it on the ‘Peak of Inflated Expectations’ personally. Virtual Reality is still only just about to hit the market this year, and I’m not convinced it’s going to be productive for a few years yet. I’m not sure I’ve seen much evidence of Gesture Control and Virtual Reality hitting the big time though. I think they might have been a little optimistic there, though it’s true that 3D printing is definitely starting to get a grip outside of the hobbyist market. Talking of moving things to the right, what did Garnet think were productive technologies in 2015? Enterprise-scale 3D printing, Gesture Control and Virtual Reality. It’s noticeable that there are some IoT-dependent technologies such as IoT Platform and Connected Home coming along the upslope on the Hype Cycle, and they can’t really become productive until Gartner move IoT a little bit to the right. The problem is that IoT is very much an enabling technology, and they tend to mature extremely slowly. It’s been there for as long as I can remember, and I’m not sure if it’s going to make it off any time soon. However, it’s a useful tool for looking at what technologies are coming along and pretty much everyone who is interested in strategic technology depends on it.Īs with 2014, Gartner still have the Internet of Things mired on the ‘Peak of Inflated Expectations’. It’s not very comprehensible, particularly in showing the speed of movement of different technologies, and their methodology seems more than a little bit on the random side. As I’ve mentioned on previous occasions, I have some problems with Gartner’s Hype Cycle. Since the Gartner Hype Cycle for 2016 ought to be coming out any day now, I thought I’d better catch up on the 2015 Emerging Technology Hype Cycle (which is available at ).